The Chiefs Playoff Picture Comes Into Focus – Bringing in a blur to be focused, there are many playoff possibilities, some are confusing, many do not have the complete vital stats. Here, I’ll do my best and hope to paint a clearer picture, while using as many stats as are needed.
The Playoff Qualifiers and Tiebreakers
The entire NFL Official playoff tiebreaker procedures can be viewed via this link: Operations NFL. The number 1 seeded team, which gets the only first round bye this year, is determined by the following tiebreakers.
- Head-to-head, if applicable.
- Strength of schedule.
- Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
- Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.
- Strength of victory.
- Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
- Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
- Best net points in conference games.
- Best net points in all games.
- Best net touchdowns in all games.
- Coin toss.
The teams that currently have the best chance to make the playoffs, and their percentages of winning a championship, making it to a conference championship game odds, winning the conference game advances to the Super Bowl odds, then finally winning the Super Bowl… are all included below. A second set of charts shows playoff qualifiers current records and remaining opponents winning percentages. To learn more go to Playoff Status.
AFC Playoff Probabilities
Only 7 teams from each conference qualify for the playoffs.
NFC Playoff Possibilities
NFC Playoff Probabilities
Cynthia Frelund’s week 14 playoff computerized projections.
Every Team’s Playoff Chances at Week 14
Playoff Pictures
The same system that we’ve seen in previous years works like a tournament bracket, as in every round the highest seeded team plays the lowest remaining seeded team. In round one the 1st seeded team gets a bye, then #2 plays #7; #3 plays #6; and #4 plays #5. Then round two #1 seeded team plays the lowest remaining seeded team. This continues through rounds.
My Final Predictions for the AFC are:
My Final Predictions for the NFC are:
The Final Say
Clear as mud, correct? I hope that I painted a somewhat clearer picture for all to understand. I believe we will see many closely played games in all rounds, but in the end, the teams with high octane offenses, and just good enough defenses to cause turnovers, or limit TDs being scored… will come out on top. The clear part is that the Kansas City Chiefs will be standing on the Super Bowl podium holding the Lambeau Trophy for the second year in a row.
Alan Haupt — ArrowheadOne
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