Chiefs: A Five Day Forecast

Chiefs: A Five Day Forecast

by David Bell

Chiefs: A Five Day Forecast Overview

If you don’t like prognostication, then bypass this article. For me, it’s appropriate to take a look at Sunday and reflect on the following four games before the 12 week Bye. For this week we know that Mitch Morse is out — still in concussion protocol. Eric Berry and Justin Houston are both likely out — neither practiced this week. What is going to happen is that Jordan Devey will take over in Mitch’s absence and a combination of Breeland Speaks and Tanoh Kpassagnon (Kpass) will take on the duties at OLB in place of Justin Houston, though Kpass was limited practice on Thursday. We will see Josh Shaw more in this game along with Lucas at the back end in the safety role.

That said, I wrote a piece for Saturday and reflected that though the Bengals game will be a tough contest, the Chiefs will come out on top.

So, What’s Coming Up Next?

Barring a loss versus the Bengals, the Chiefs will play a dastardly difficult Bronco team in a game that marks the end of the first half of the season. In Week 9 of the season, the Chiefs face the Browns followed by week 10 and a contest with the Browns. In week 10, the Chiefs have another home contest facing the lowly Cardinals followed by a week 11 game on the road, versus the LA Rams. This game is at Mexico City, so though designated a road game, the Chiefs have a good following in Mexico — but essentially both teams are “on the road”. The only other game on the road is at Cleveland. No, I don’t think this will be a 2017 redux after winning the first five.

The Chiefs have two tough contests in a row before getting a bit of respite after the Bronco game. Here they face the Browns and Cardinals. Not that those teams will back away but the Chiefs should feel on top of it going against this pair and pull up with two wins regardless of the results in the preceding games against the Bengals and Broncos.

The Five Day Forecast

Let me say one more thing about this and then look at the five upcoming games: The Chiefs have the offense to handily win the first 4 games. In the 5th game, versus the Rams, they have an offense that can go toe to toe with the opponent on offense.

These games, including this Sunday’s against the Bengals, will get the Chiefs to the bye week, followed by the final one-quarter of the season. Starting this series of 5 games, the Chiefs are 5-1 going in. Let’s take a look: The Chiefs have three home games and two away.

Bengals at KC, Week 7 [Win]: I predicted a win in the 40-26 range. It will be physical but I do not think the Bengals can match up in a shoot ’em up.

Broncos at KC, Week 8 [Win]: The Chiefs are closely followed by the Chargers and have beaten both teams on the road. What is important about this game is ownership of the AFC West — holding place if you will until the Chiefs take on the Chargers at home in the last 4 games of the season. Yes, I am projecting this game as a win. It is very likely the most dangerous game until we travel to Mexico to face the Rams.The Broncos cannot be happy about the loss at Mile High and will be looking to avenge and turn the tables on the Chiefs. I see that PMII has take just about everything the Broncos could throw at him and was calm under pressure. Still, this Bronco game is AFC West and it will be physical and hotly contested. Recall, this is the foe where LD-T left the game with a broken leg(and it turns out to be a bit more than that.

Chiefs at Browns, Week 9 [Win]: This contest is similar to the game against the Cardinals — take care of business and put another win in the books.

Cardinals at Chiefs, Week 10 [Win]: As long as the Chiefs play their brand of football, this will get chalked up and diagrammed and written about for the season. it should be a slaughter.

Chiefs at Rams, Week 11 at Mexico City [Loss]: Two big time offenses going at it but the Rams Defense is top 10 and KC’s is at the bottom. This game at this moment would likely end up a loss but if Berry and Houston are back, the defense should improve significantly.

Bye Week, Week 12 with a record of 9-2. S Daniel Sorensen should be back on the active Roster. Both Justin Houston and Eric Berry should be playing. Laurent Duvernay-Tardif (LDT) is on the IR along with Armani Watts, DeAnthony Thomas. I doubt any of these players return in 2018. It may be DAT never plays in the NFL again, or so I am informed.

When the Chiefs arrive at a week of rest, re-gearing, putting on new tread, easing all the contusions, aches and pains, we should know that we are going to run down the final four games and whether it will be a struggle or not. I think they will be 9-2. There is no reason for me to see a slide across multiple sequential games like 2017. I think such a thing ends versus the Bengals (see Saturday’s piece).

After the respite week, the Chiefs have games with: at Raiders, vs Ravens, vs Chargers, at Seahawks, vs Raiders.

If I were to make a projection I would say that the game at home against the Ravens, and the game at Seattle are the toughest games. I want to wait and see how the team looks at the Bye week before making any predictions. If the Chiefs are healthy they will win all five of these games. Another thing: it’ll be important to go after these games with all you have got — and win out. If the Chiefs get on a roll at the end of the season… if they are confident they can contend with any team in the NFL and have had success which breeds success… I see good things getting through January. We go from that point and have the bonafides to prove it: 14-2.

That’s the long view (please don’t pass this on to any players. That would be B-a-a-a-d!).

David Bell – ArrowheadOne

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