Chiefs Mock Mondays: Week Five
by David Perkins and Paul Pulley
Monday, March 18, 2019
Mock Drafts from David Perkins
The biggest problem with mock drafts, other than the timing, is the big boards and the perception of talent by those preparing the board… and also the perceived need by the software. This differential is easily seen below (note: First-Pick, where Sweat and Burns are available in the late 1st/early 2nd). Despite this disparity, the good news is there are solid choices even down into late 5th round, players who could help the Chiefs, either this year on special teams or in 2020 as developmental players. These drafts assume CB Darqueze Dennard will be signed plus, more talent is needed at the Edge and Linebacker positions… while Running Back, Wide Receiver, and Offensive Line, were a lower priority.
Mock Drafts from Paul Pulley:
Mock Drafts Full of Trades
A couple of weeks ago, I did a mock draft in which I targeted certain players and then orchestrated several trades in order to get them drafted. Since the entire world seems to think that the Kansas City Chiefs general manager, Brett Veach, is going to trade up higher in the 2019 draft, I thought that I would attempt the same. I’m going to use similar parameters that I used the first time.
First, I’m using an average of cbssports prospect rankings and DrafTek’s big board to find where any player should be drafted. I’m also staying with the premise that no player can be drafted more than 4 spots after that average. Any player could be selected sooner, it would just be considered a “reach.” This process proved to be rather time consuming since DrafTek changed their big board after the combine.
Secondly, I used the Rich Hill Trade Value chart for trade compensation. This time I used the newer trade value chart that includes a value for all 256 draft picks. Here is the chart:
As you can see, this chart has considerable differences to the older “Jimmy Johnson” chart, but still places a premium on the top half of the first round. As I did before, trading for multiple selections, the trade partner has to own all of the picks being traded for.
The Chiefs currently have 8 draft picks:
Trading up proved to be rather difficult. My original plan was to trade up for a top cornerback or a defensive lineman. What I found by using the average of the two draft prospect ranking services, was that the very top players are out of reach and the second tier players don’t require a trade up in order to draft. When I say the players are out of reach, I decided against attempting to use future draft capital for trading. I thought the best course of action for this exercise was to stay with the 2019 draft picks that have a known value.
For your reading pleasure — or in order to bore you to tears — I ended up doing two mock drafts that had very similar beginnings. My first mock draft ended up being heavily invested in the offense. In this mock I made only three trades and ended up with seven draft picks. These are the players and their rankings:
The trades I made in order to make these selections are:
Breaking Down the Players Selected
Round 1, Pick 21; TE T. J. Hockenson: Iowa, 6-5 and 251 pounds. The John Mackey Award winner as the country’s best tight end. Hockenson is still just 21 years old and paired with Kelce, would make an incredible duo and Kelce’s eventual replacement.
Round 2, Pick 53; C Erik McCoy: Texas A&M, 6-4 and 303 pounds. Very good in both pass protection and run blocking. Strong against interior power rushers yet agile enough to pull and get downfield. With Mitch Morse lost in free agency, a quality center to help protect the Chiefs all time greatest investment should be a priority.
Round 4, pick 22; S Darnell Savage: Maryland, 5-11 and 198 pounds. A fast ball hawking safety with good instincts and high football IQ. 7 Ints his last two years at Maryland. Should make a great addition to the Chiefs secondary.
Round 4, pick 25; DE John Cominsky: Charleston, 6-5 and 286 pounds. A better run defender than pass rusher at this point in time. Ran a 4.69 40 at the combine and posted very good shuttle and 3-cone times also. In 2018, he only had 3 sacks, but finished his season with 67 tackles of which 16.5 were for a loss.
Round 5, pick 17; OT Tytus Howard: Alabama St., 6-5 and 322 pounds. A high ceiling project, a gifted athlete that will need time to perfect his technique. A quality pick with experience at both left and right tackle, that could be an eventual replacement at either spot.
Round 6, pick 28; CB Isaiah Johnson: Houston, 6-2 and 208 pounds. Good height and length for an outside corner. Johnson is a converted receiver and will need some quality coaching to reach his potential. Has great speed, ran a 4.4 40 at the combine with very good shuttle and cone times. A late 6th round pick that could be a very good future corner.
Round 7 pick 2; WR Jalen Hurd: Baylor, 6-5 and 226 pounds. Recruited to Tennessee as a running back, but was switched to a WR at Baylor. Hurd has very good hands and with his RB background, he knows what to do with the ball in his hands. Hurd will be another late round project, but his ceiling is tremendous.
That concludes my first offense heavy mock, My second one concentrates more on the defense. In this mock, I made four trades, but still ended up with eight selections. My picks and their rankings are:
Earlier when I said my two mocks had similar beginnings, actually, the only thing similar was the initial trade. Here are the trades I orchestrated to achieve this draft.
Breaking Down My 2nd Mock:
Round 1, pick 21, S Deionte Thompson: Alabama, 6-1 and 195 pounds. A ball hawking safety with good instincts and ball skills. Is good defending both the pass and the run. Only started 1 year as he was behind top players, so his inexperience could show at times, but he should make a top free safety for years to come.
Round 3, pick 3, DE Charles Omenihu: Texas, 6-5 and 280 pounds. Tall with really long arms. Is a powerful kid and has plenty of room to improve. Has 18 TFL’s and 9.5 sacks as a senior. Should start out as quality DE depth and possibly work his way to a starter in his second year.
Round 3, pick 28, TE Josh Oliver: Jan Jose State, 6-5 and 249 pounds. A smaller school kid with good speed, good route running and very good ball skills. Having Oliver as the number 2 TE behind Kelce for a couple years, should turn him into an excellent player.
Round 4, pick 24, CB Justin Layne: Michigan St., 6-2 and 192 pounds. Layne is a converted receiver with decent speed, 4.5—40, good ball skills and a high football IQ. He is very athletic with good change of direction skills. An early draft entrant, Layne is just 21 years old.
Round 5, pick 13, LB Ben Burr-Kirven: Washington, 6-0 and 230 pounds. Burr-Kirven is a tackling machine, as a Senior he had 176 total tackles (94 solo), 5.5 tackles for a loss, 2 sacks, 2 int’s, 6 passes defensed, 4 forced fumbles and 3 fumble recoveries. He has good instincts, a high football IQ, and plays like he never gets tired.
Round 6, pick 3, OT Chuma Edoga: USC, 6-3 and 308 pounds. Edoga has long arms, quick feet and is very athletic. He has the ability to pull and is good to the second level. A smart kid that should take coaching well.
Round 6, pick 31, WR Miles Boykin: Notre Dame, 6-4 and 220 pounds. Tall, long, fast and athletic. Boykin needs to improve on his aggressiveness and focus, but he has a very high ceiling.
Round 7, pick 15, DL Albert Huggins: Clemson, 6-3 and 305 pounds. Huggins may not offer much as a pass rusher, but he is very powerful and can hold up well against double teams. He was a rotational DL but may be under-rated due to the depth of Clemson’s defensive line.
What’s the Advantage in Trading Up?
The rumors abound that Chiefs GM Brett Veach is planning on trading up in this years draft. After performing this exercise, unless one or two really top end players fall for whatever reason, or there is a player that the Chiefs feel they can’t live without and are able to reach, staying static or even trading back appears that it would reward the Chiefs with more top end selections.
I know that the Chiefs draft board will look very different than mine or most likely any of the ones found on-line, but since this is all for fun, I hope you enjoyed it.
Paul Pulley and David Perkins — ArrowheadOne
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