Remember how Patrick Mahomes was going to regress from 5,000 yards and 50 TDs?
Through 3 weeks he's on pace for 6,373 yards and 53 TDs.
— Sam Monson (@PFF_Sam) September 23, 2019
Chiefs Mahomes Changes Everything – it’s clear that after three regular season games that Patrick Mahomes is not going to regress in 2019. That notion was something that was a popular byline outside of the Kansas City media base but now it’s apparent, he’s’ not only gotten better, but in his short career, he is changing everything from how teams defend… to how the Chiefs defend… to hair styles.
Prior to Sunday’s 33-to-28 win over the Baltimore Ravens, Adam Schefter wrote thsi about Mr. Mahomes:
Patrick Mahomes, who has played 19 games, recorded his sixth game with at least 300 passing yards and four TDs, surpassing Hall of Famers Dan Marino (five games) and Kurt Warner (five) for most games with at least 300 yards and four passing TDs in a player’s first 40 NFL games.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) September 16, 2019
Ah, Mahomes only had 3 TDs in this game, but at least he has 20 more games to go before he doubles their output and, I know it’s not much but, at least he did get 374 yards passing. Oh well, that’s okay, he’s got that covered too:
.@PatrickMahomes has thrown for 3+ pass TD in 7 straight road games dating back to 2018, the longest streak in NFL history
He now tops this list:
KC Patrick Mahomes 7
NE Tom Brady 6
HOF Brett Favre 5
HOF Dan Marino 5
HOF George Blanda 5— NFL Research (@NFLResearch) September 16, 2019
One thing Mahomes has is, consistency. I used to track the up and down passer rating of Matt Cassel so, I can fully appreciate the steadying influence of Mahomes on this offense:
Patrick Mahomes recorded a 100.0+ passer rating for the 16th time in his 20-game career this afternoon. That is crazy.
— Matt McMullen (@KCChiefs_Matt) September 22, 2019
Whether or not you’re talking about his photographic memory, or his no-look pass, or his arm strength, or his escapability, or his throws outside the pocket when a play breaks down… Mahomes has become the standard by which all other QBs in today’s game are compared. The way the Chiefs have allowed him to sit for a year behind Alex Smith has also become the picture perfect way to nurture a young quarterback. However, the Chiefs may have made a mistake having Mahomes sit out for a year when he could have been learning on the job and performing at a much higher standard. Now, Mahomes has added the best “Fake” in the business to his arsenal:
Mahomes too cool with the fake 🥶 @PatrickMahomes pic.twitter.com/mlQLmkU9Lv
— The Checkdown (@thecheckdown) September 22, 2019
This year, Mahomes is not only winning the MVP race again, he’s destroying the competition at quarterback:
Patrick Mahomes is leading league passing by 217 yards, but is 6th in pass attempts…that’s absurd!#Chiefs | #ChiefsKingdom
— Arrowhead Live (@ArrowheadLive) September 23, 2019
I can foresee a time when the best players at other positions are begging to play for the Chiefs because of Patrick Mahomes. He’s not only making the WRs on this team look better, but he’s had a dramatic effect upon the running backs too:
Found another way to visualize the Chief's efficiency in the RB passing game, this time looking at Expected Points Added over Depth of Target from the past three season – i.e. when targeting RBs at "n" many yards, how efficient were we. Take a look: pic.twitter.com/wOy4CylnvL
— ArrowheadAnalytics (@ChiefsAnalytics) August 24, 2019
Did Patrick Mahomes Get Bob Sutton Fired?
No. If you recall, the Chiefs defense has been bad for the past two seasons so the idea that Patrick Mahomes and his quick strike offense had anything to do with Bob Sutton’s defense being overtaxed is not sound reasoning. Although the Chiefs lost the time of possession battle to the Ravens on Sunday, 32:44 to 27:16, they have won that stats battle in their first two games and remain on the positive side of the ledger, 30:22 to 29:38, averaging all three of their games together.
However, it’s clear that Reid’s offensive strategy which has the team leading by multiple scores by half time in each game this year, 23-to-13, 28-to-10, and 23-to-6, also alters the way other teams attack the Chiefs defense. So, naturally, the K.C. D has had to adapt and change their approach handling big leads. That’s even more true late in the game as the Chiefs have led by these scores entering the 4th period: 30-to-13, 28-to-10, and 30-to-13.
Also, that means opposing coaches are more willing to take chances to win, including going for it on 4th downs, which the Ravens did on numerous occasions. Which also means the defense is on the field for more plays and an extended time of possession. John Harbaugh’s tactic of using the 4th down play to beat the Chiefs may become a trend even though he failed half the time. If other teams can get past mid-field on the Chiefs defense, a 4th down attempt may be almost as good as a punt, in many cases.
Will that change the way the Chiefs defense has to defend? Absolutely, and why? Because of Patrick Mahomes, pure and simple. He’s that good that opposing coaches will do whatever it takes to keep him off the field.
ArrowheadAnalytics has a revealing stat called, “EPA per Play” defined as such:
“Expected Points Added (EPA) – The difference between the Expected Points (EP) at the start of a play and the EP at the end of they play. EPA is the measure of a play’s impact on the score of the game. An individual player’s EPA is the sum of the EPA of the plays in which that player was directly involved. Being directly involved is defined as an offensive player who ran, threw, or kicked the ball, was targeted by a pass, or flagged for a penalty.”
It’s worth noting here because of what Patrick Mahomes is doing:
EPA per play for the entire @nflscrapR era (min 500 plays).
Pat Mahomes might be breaking football. pic.twitter.com/btU5WIlTl8
— new-age analytical (@benbbaldwin) September 19, 2019
“Breaking football.” Nah, but I do think he’s dramatically changing the way the game is played at the quarterback position… and consequently, every other position. So, maybe he is breaking football.
Ask yourself this question: what aspect of the game of football has NOT been changed by the introduction of Patrick Mahomes and his skills to the NFL? When I think about it, there’s almost nothing. If you think that the Arizona Cardinals hired their new head coach — Kliff Kingsbury — and that their decision didn’t have everything to do with his having previously coached Patrick Mahomes, I have some property on Mars I’d like to sell you. Kingsbury, a supposed offensive guru (gee, I wonder why?) hasn’t had a winning year in college since Patrick Mahomes left and never had a decent defense (his defenses averaged 108th in FBs in 6 seasons)… but somehow, his connection to Patrick Mahomes weighed heavily enough to make him a valued coach to hire.
Patrick Mahomes has become so popular, he’s bringing more attention to Kansas City at large. You could even expect property prices begin to soar over the time he’s the Chiefs QB. He’s so popular that even pop stars are giving him props:
The Jonas Brothers showing love to Patrick Mahomes lmao pic.twitter.com/0rOJlpjeHq
— Erin M (@ErinMurray16) September 23, 2019
That’s right, a Kansas City sports figure is now the most popular man in America. He’s not only changing everything in football, he’s changing our American experience and culture. He has his own cereal. He appears in commercials for:
-
- Madden 20 Cover
- Hunt’s Ketchup, paying homage to Mean Joe Greene
- Oakley Sunglasses
- His own Adidas Showtime Mahomes Shoe
- Head & Shoulders with Troy Polamalu
- State Farm Insurance with Aaron Rodgers
- DirecTV NFL Sunday Ticket
- Amazon Web Services
- Hy-Vee
- Chiefs Checking
- Goodcents Deli Fresh Subs
Athletes used to get their face on the box of Wheaties but now, Mahomes has his own box of sugary flakes. Mahomes is changing hairstyles and clothing styles as well. Maybe he’s the lost Beatle? Speaking of music… turn the volume up, you are going to want to hear this and I’m guessing that you’ll stop reading this piece and listen to it at least twice before continuing to read…
Kansas City, this one's for you.@PatrickMahomes: A Special Live Music Video pic.twitter.com/a1k4rVd9HX
— The Ringer (@ringer) September 22, 2019
He’s everywhere now. That’s how big his impact on our society has become. I’m surprised some media type hasn’t asked him if he’s ever considered running for president in the future.
Of course, there’s only one way this all happens… and that’s because of his performance on the field. Which, is most literally off the charts. Enough so, that some are saying, he’s already the best of the best at his position… of all time:
Regarding Rodgers, Brady and Brees #ChiefsKingdom, @Realrclark25 says that "Patrick Mahomes is better than all these dudes ever were." pic.twitter.com/TRcpdgwEcK
— KCH1EFSFAN (@MarcCentanni) September 23, 2019
It’s hard for me to argue that Patrick Mahomes is not a breed apart. I have seen those few on Twitter who still claim that Mahomes would not be half the QB he is right now without all his weapons or without Andy Reid. I might be able to understand the Reid argument, but the more I watch him play, the more I’m convinced, the Chiefs Patrick Mahomes changes everything, even his own coach. NFL Huddle has stated, “… until the quarterback is hoisting a Lombardi, let’s stop comparing him to some of the most successful quarterbacks in modern NFL history” and they’re not wrong in the sense that Mahomes hasn’t yet won the big one. However, is anyone doubting that Fran Tarkington or Dan Marino didn’t have great careers? The Chiefs Patrick Mahomes changes everything… period. Will he win a Lombardi? We’ll see. However, if he doesn’t, it surely won’t be any fault of his own.
Laddie Morse — ArrowheadOne
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