Chiefs Trader Jack Mock Draft – Using the NFL Mocks Database I’ve performed multiple mock drafts. In so doing, I consistently was able to acquire the same trade possibilities. Also, as I kept repeating the same process the same players were falling to me most of the time. Not that Brett Veach would ever make this many trades, it does show what could be done.
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First of all by trading down twice, during the mock, I was able to further reduce the rookie salary cap hit. At the same time it gave me more picks later in the draft, that I was able to use to trade back up to get position needs at the proper valued round and pick level.
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These two facts were covered by James McGregor here at AO in his article on Wednesday called:
Potential Tight End Draft Prospects.
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This trading down <- or ->trading up, has been performed by New England mastermind Bill Belichick multiple times. While his choices usually graded out well on paper, they did not always have a high amount of success on the field. Yet it’s a reason that he was able to build playoff level teams year after year. (Hold on, I gotta wash my mouth out, after saying positives about Beli-cheat). However, the concept of it is very intriguing, and I truly believe if Brett Veach chose a similar route he would master it as well as anyone ever has.
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Mock Draft: 8 Picks
+ Draft Mode: Realistic
+ Trade Mode: Strict
+ Draft Order: Pre-Draft
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Note: above is the Mock Draft scenarios which was established beforehand. I repeated the exact same scenarios each separate mock draft that I performed.
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Why Trade Down From #31
While there is very good depth at offensive tackle in the draft this year, I personally don’t believe there is a sure fire starter beyond the first two high valued picks. By the time that this year’s draft happens, Andy Reid and Brett Veach will have the offensive tackle positions well figured out, and the blind side protection of Patrick Mahomes will not be in the hands of a first year rookie. Ladner Morse showed good aspects of what is already on the Chiefs roster, in his article on Thursday called: Martinas Rankin: Hidden Gemstone.
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In the multiple times that I traded back into the second round during all the mocks I’ve done, there was always an offensive tackle still available for me to choose. As an end result, I decided that the 5 to 6 offensive tackles that could be available to the Chiefs at #31, or even after trading back, an OT had too much risk, this high in the draft. Meanwhile the two top center prospects — Creed Humphrey and Landon Dickerson — have much higher rewards, accompanied by a lower risk, than the OT prospect choices. These two centers continually have fallen between picks #36 and #50, with always at least one falling below pick #43.
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The other choice at pick #31 that has appear available seen many times, is Tulsa’s linebacker Zaven Collins. While I do like his potential, and he’s very intriguing, I had to mentally weigh the options in regards to the most important choice for the Chiefs. As a potential replacement for Anthony Hitchens, who called the defense plays last year, it proved to me that Andy Reid and Steve Spagnuolo will not trust a rookie to such an important duty. So, I came to the conclusion that a potential future starter at center – with any luck at a pro bowl level – is a choice that I’m not willing to ignore.
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I do agree with the presumption that as a first pick in the draft we normally want a sure fire starter, which the top two centers are just that. Just not week one, not until they have learned and have shown that they can be trusted with the all important communication part involved with a key ingredient of the offensive line. Blocking ability is valuable but to show the skill of recognizing blitzes and calling out blockings assignments, is the #1 most important duty of a center. Enough analogy now, let’s get on with my choices.
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Trade Down Recap
Kansas City Receives:
2021: Rd 2, Pick #36 – 2021: Rd 4, Pick #124
2021: Rd 7, Pick #260 – 2022: Rd 5 (Miami)
Miami Receives:
2021: Rd 1, Pick #31
As I stated above with these two trades I was able to duplicate time and time again within the mock draft simulator.
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Another Trade Down Recap
Kansas City Receives:
2021: Rd 2, Pick #43 – 2021: Rd 3, Pick #103
2021: Rd 7, Pick #231 – 2022: Rd 7 (San Fran)
San Francisco Receives:
2021: Rd 2, Pick #36
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My Selections
1st Pick
#43 Rd: 2, Creed Humphrey (IOL) Oklahoma
- Creed had 36 consecutive starts as a 3 year starter for the Sooners
- 2018 season he started 12 of 14 games and was part of the unit that won the Joe Moore Award (nations top offensive line)
- 2019 season Creed was a Rimington Trophy Finalist, second team AP All-American, and Big 12 Co-offensive Lineman of the year
- 2020 was he team captain, named 3rd team AP All-American, Big 12 Offensive Lineman of the Year
- He sets with a wide base and has a high football IQ. He has a wrestling background and it shows in his core strength, and also has a tendency to play nasty when needed. Everyone that knows him states he has good leadership qualities.
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I could have also drafted Landon Dickerson here, but Creed has the better pass blocking abilities, and most media and scouts agree that Creed has the higher potential and ceiling.
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2nd Pick
#63 Rd: 2, Dylan Moses (LB) Alabama
- Coming out of high school he was a five star recruit, his freshman year at Alabama he started 2 games, played in 11 and was named to the SEC All-Freshman Team.
- 2018 season he started every game, playing both inside and outside at the LB position. Garnered notoriety as a Butkus Award Finalist, second team All SEC and second team All-American.
- 2019 injured knee in fall camp – did not play
- 2020 Dylan led Alabama in tackles, was first team All-SEC, and third team All-American.
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A violent hitter in the run game, with sideline to sideline speed, possesses pass coverage abilities and was the defensive play caller for the National Champion Crimson Tide. I believe he fits well to how Steve Spagnuolo likes to use his players as Dylan played all three positions of a linebacker in his time at Alabama.
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3rd Pick
Trade Up Recap – Kansas City Receives:
2021: Rd 3, Pick #75
Dallas Receives:
2021: Rd 3, Pick #95 – 2021: Rd 4, Pick #145
2021 Rd 5, Pick #176 – 2022: Rd 5 (Miami)
#75 Rd: 3, Spencer Brown (OT) Northern Iowa
The Chiefs Should Invest in Developing Offensive Tackle Spencer Brown
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He is a huge prospective for an offensive right tackle at 6’8.5″ – 314 lbs.. Being this a big bodied player, Spencer shows good movement skills, with the ability to pull on screen plays and progressing to the second level in the run game.
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Brown has shown the nastiness that the Chiefs would want from an offensive lineman, as he likes to invoke his size and strength, and to dominate a defensive player. However, as he has only started 20 games, with the Covid Pandemic, which canceled his fall season, he also chose not to play spring ball, for his small-college team. He’s not ready for the NFL level of play, but he has an extremely high ceiling and it appears that his stock is rising as the draft approaches. He’s in training with retired S.F. 49er Joe Staley in preparation for the upcoming draft.
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4th Pick
Trade Up Recap – Kansas City Receives:
2021: Rd 3, Pick #97- 2021: Rd 7, Pick #244
New England Receives:
2021: Rd 3, Pick #103 – 2021: Rd 6, Pick #208
#97 Rd: 3, Tommy Tremble (TE) Notre Dame
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As mentioned in James McGregor’s article, Andy has, for three training camps now, attempted to find a Fullback/Tight End/ Flanker. None of his attempted players were able to adequately perform all three positions, but Tommy Tremble fits this wanted skillset to a high degree.
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If Andy gets what he has desired for four years, Tremble would add a concept to an already potent offense, which does not exist in the NFL, and would be difficult to defend. Tommy can run the ball in short yardage situations, run and pass block out of the backfield, yet he possesses the needed talents of a receiving threat. Which… means he could develop into a triple threat.
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5th Pick
Trade Up Recap – Kansas City Receives:
2021: Rd 4, Pick #120
Minnesota Receives:
2021: Rd 4, Pick #137 – 2021: Rd 7, Pick #260
2022: Rd 7 (San Fran)
#120 Rd: 4, Marquez Stevenson (WR) Houston
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This Wide Receiver is considered to be a late round sleeper,and I heard on WHB Sports Talk that WR Marquez Stevenson is rising up the rankings. Discussed was his talents and the skill set that Dave Toub would love to have.
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This late in the draft he is a low risk-high reward choice. It’s very possible that he does not fall this low in the draft, but he’d be a better WR prospect than what Mecole Hardman has been.
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6th Pick
#124 Rd: 4, Cameron Sample (Edge) Tulane
Sample has all the qualities to be a productive defensive end, and with some strength and conditioning help at the NFL level, he has the ability to play multiple positions as a pass rushing defender. My video reviews showed that he can play both as lineman or linebacker, while mainly used as pass rusher, he did show some ability to fall back into shallow pass defense. Spagnuolo loves versatility in all of his players, and rotational depth is needed.
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7th Pick
#182 Rd: 5, Shi Smith (WR) South Carolina
This late in the draft many players have inaccurate scouting reports, with too many variances in their positives and negatives. The two facts that enticed me is his sure handed pass catching skill set, as he catches everything thrown his way. Then also he has the ability against man pressure to get into his routes immediately off the line of scrimmage.
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8th Pick
Trade Up Recap – Kansas City Receives:
2021: Rd 6, Pick #185
Baltimore Receives:
2021: Rd 7, Pick #231 – 2021: Rd 7, Pick #244
#185 Rd: 6, Tay Gowan (CB) UCF
This Cornerback is considered by many publications to be a sleeper, while not a high ranked prospect, I view him as a long term eventual starter, as a worst case scenario, he would be a valuable rotational DB in the nickel-dime packages. Quite an intriguing interview with Tay Gowan can be seen here:
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Conclusion
We’ve seen over time that Brett Veach doesn’t always draft first year starters. However, he likes to draft based on potential and he has had a high success rate of acquiring eventual high quality, skilled players. I tried to draft based on that mindset, and with the skilled scouts and resources that Mr. Veach has to evaluate a player’s talents, if he were to trade up-and-down, he could end up with 8 valuable assets for the Kansas City Chiefs this year.
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Alan Haupt — ArrowheadOne
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