Fantasy Football: Yards Per Touch – YPT – The Running Back Touch of Success

Screen Shot 2016-07-24 at 9.35.52 PMYards Per Touch – YPT – The Running Back Touch of Success

By John Cooney

Editor’s Note: You can visit John Cooney’s website called PASS2WIN.com for more in depth Fantasy Analysis. ~Laddie Morse

MEDIUM SPACER

The pro backfield ball carriers of today are just as skilled, productive and durable as their predecessors, however they just are not getting the same volume of rushing opportunities as the ground grinders of yesteryear. Actually, the running backs of the past 10-15 years are actually better athletes than the a majority of those old pro workhorses thanks to advances and dedication to nutrition, physical conditioning and medical practices. The problem is the position is just so darn demanding and the tailback’s body possesses a finite number of quality carries in his physical account.

 

As running backs grew bigger, stronger and faster, so too did linebackers, defensive front-men and in-the-box safeties. NFL coaches finally came around to the idea that reducing the number of high impact collisions on a star rusher not only could potentially extend the career of running back, but also keep a key offensive cog consistently available throughout the grueling 17-week regular season grind. General managers and franchise owners helped their on-field bosses see the light by lowering the financial rewards and contracts of running backs, viewing backs as assets with rapidly depreciating values.

 

1 John Cooney PASS2WIN logoTo get the most out of gifted backfield athlete without physical and medical overload, offensive blue-printers rewrote playbooks, getting their prized backfield stars away from the big bullies at the line of scrimmage, often rolling them outside the hashmarks and into the flats where there is far less traffic and collision potential. Good idea, but the problem many teams faced early on in this playbook preservation practice was that those big, burly-type backs built for pounding the football through the o-line did not possess the breakaway chops to make the most of their one-on-one opportunities on the perimeter.

 

Little-by-little, running back dimensions started to shrink, and the shorter, quicker athlete with nifty footwork, darting elusiveness, good hands and the ability to run expanded pass patterns morphed into the new prototype tailback. Smaller, quicker (not necessarily faster), more versatile make up the shape, form and function of today’s multi-tasking rusher/receiver. They still are asked to take handoffs, but not in the body-killing volumes as before. These days, a tailback that is bringing it for an offense is mixing in more opportunistic handoffs and pitches with a variety of pass route options. Backs are involved in traditional screens and flares, but also now have the chance to explode to daylight behind hit-n-run blockers in bubble screens, catch-n-run drags across mid-field on hooks and stops or beat a mismatched ‘backer’ downfield running circle routes, posts and even fly patterns.

 

Handoffs are dwindling but that doesn’t mean the running back is dead in fantasy football. Today, a running back doesn’t have to ‘carry’ your fantasy team to winning productivity, he just has to ‘touch’ his way to points prosperity.

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Effective fantasy football backfield utilization calls for a focus on touches as a hot read for running back values. That leads fanballers to ultimately key in on what a running back does with his touches by charting or noting Yards Per Touch (YPT). If in the past Yards Per Carry (YPC) was a defining indicator of a ball carriers effectiveness, then today, with touches being the new indicator of a ‘feature back’, YPT must be an important factor in figuring fantasy football ‘rusher’ effectiveness. For years I have been touting the use of the RBBC (running back by committee) and encouraging fanballers to embrace it rather than avoid the practice. There is no avoiding it now as NFL coaches are literally saddled with the RBBC due to the circumstances of the position and the position’s market today. RBBC is the way of the NFL now and going forward. To make it work for fantasy coaches, a slight alteration in fantasy running back perspective needs to be applied, pushing carries and Yards Per Carry (YPC) to the background, setting touches and YPT front-and-center.

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On the real field handoffs are often used more to set up the next play, which tends to be a ball in the air of some sort. Coaches have made the commitment to limit backfield pony abuse by cutting down overall carries. From 2000 to 2004 the NFL offered fantasy coaches 50 individual 300-plus carry performances; FIFTY! Tennessee’s Eddie George had the highest carry total in that span, logging 403 handoffs (he added 50 catches that year, too). The breakdown from 2000-2004:

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2000, 9 (403, Eddie George)

2001, 10

2002, 9

2003, 13

2004, 9

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Skipping over to the last seven seasons, the carry draw-down becomes quite evident as fanballers experienced just 25 such efforts. In that seven-season block DeMarco Murray, with Dallas, established the high water mark at 392 carries. In 2015 Minnesota’s Adrian Peterson was the only back to break 300 (327). The 300-plus performance totals of the last seven seasons are:

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2009, 6

2010, 7

2011, 2

2012, 5

2013, 2

2014, 2 (392, DeMarco Murray)

2015, 1

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Gang, forget the carry and go for the touch, focusing on what the ball-handler does with his chances on offense, however they come. The beauty of the touch is that more can be done with less. In 2016 a fantasy-effective running back doesn’t need to rock-em-sock em on the ground 20-25 times, plowing through a wall of big nasties that are looking to lay down a ‘remember me’ smack.  Yes, any running back needs the football under his arm to be a viable FFB weapon, but an athlete with sporty wheels, slick moves and sticky hands placed in potentially more explosive positions on the field can create the same amount of point-getting hay as a plodder needing the rock stuck in his gut 20 times. Actually, in today’s style of play fantasy owners have a wide variety of draft day and game day choices coming out of the backfield.

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From a grinder perspective a ‘good’ fantasy rusher is historically measured by gaining 1000 yards on the ground. That breaks downs to a per-game average of 62.5 rushing yards. A ground-based tailback gaining 4.0 YPC needs almost 16 carries a game (16.6) just to reach 62.5 yards. Fantasy coaches tied to heavily valuing YPC are likely leaving valuable points on the bench. Even if that ground-pounder averaged 4.4 YPC he still has to plow through an angry defensive front 14 times. However, a nifty rusher/receiver netting an effective 5.5 YPT has to touch the football just 11.3 times to hit 62.5 yards. His individual game breakdown in handling the ball may be 7 runs and 4 receptions. Over the course of a full 16-game slate a dual threat back netting 5.5 YPT needs 181 touches to hit that 1000-yard watermark; a ground-gainer at 4.0 YPC has to bang out 250 carries for 1000 yards.

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You get the point, so let’s take a quick break and get the big picture. Sit back, grab a cup of Joe and look over the chart of Yards Per Touch for every running back in 2015.

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KEY:

AGE = age in 2015 season

2015 TM = team played for in 2015

GP = games played

GS = games started

TCH = touches

YFS = yards from scrimmage for 2015

YPT = yards per touch

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Rushers are ranked by TOUCHES, to show a touch/YPT comparison.

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PLAYER Age 2015 TM G GS Touch YFS YPT
Adrian Peterson 30 MIN 16 16 357 1707 4.78
Devonta Freeman 23 ATL 15 13 338 1634 4.83
Doug Martin 26 TB 16 16 321 1673 5.21
Latavius Murray 25 OAK 16 16 307 1298 4.23
Frank Gore 32 IND 16 16 294 1234 4.2
Darren McFadden 28 DAL 16 10 279 1417 5.08
Chris Ivory 27 NYJ 15 14 277 1287 4.65
Matt Forte 30 CHI 13 13 262 1287 4.91
Jonathan Stewart 28 CAR 13 13 258 1088 4.22
Todd Gurley 21 STL 13 12 250 1294 5.18
Lamar Miller 24 MIA 16 16 241 1269 5.27
DeAngelo Williams 32 PIT 16 10 240 1274 5.31
Jeremy Hill 23 CIN 16 15 238 873 3.67
DeMarco Murray 27 PHL 15 8 237 1024 4.32
LeSean McCoy 27 BUF 12 12 235 1187 5.05
Ronnie Hillman 24 DEN 16 11 231 974 4.22
Rashad Jennings 30 NYG 16 16 224 1159 5.17
T.J. Yeldon 22 JAX 12 12 218 1019 4.67
Melvin Gordon 22 SD 14 13 217 833 3.84
Mark Ingram 26 NO 12 10 216 1174 5.44
Alfred Morris 27 WSH 16 16 212 806 3.8
Eddie Lacy 25 GB 15 12 207 946 4.57
Isaiah Crowell 22 CLV 16 9 204 888 4.35
Giovani Bernard 24 CIN 16 1 203 1202 5.92
Chris Johnson 30 ARZ 11 9 202 872 4.32
Alfred Blue 24 HOU 15 9 198 807 4.08
James Starks 29 GB 16 4 191 993 5.2
Javorius Allen 24 BAL 16 6 182 867 4.76
Justin Forsett 30 BAL 10 10 182 794 4.36
Charcandrick West 24 KC 15 9 180 848 4.71
Danny Woodhead 30 SD 16 1 178 1091 6.13
C.J. Anderson 24 DEN 15 5 177 903 5.1
LeGarrette Blount 29 NE 12 6 171 746 4.36
Jeremy Langford 24 CHI 16 2 170 816 4.8
Ameer Abdullah 22 DET 16 9 168 780 4.64
Duke Johnson 22 CLV 16 7 165 913 5.53
Antonio Andrews 24 TEN 14 10 164 694 4.23
Matt Jones 22 WSH 13 0 163 794 4.87
David Johnson 24 ARZ 16 5 161 1038 6.45
Charles Sims 25 TB 16 0 158 1090 6.9
Thomas Rawls 22 SEA 13 7 156 906 5.81
Darren Sproles 32 PHL 16 4 138 705 5.11
Le’Veon Bell 23 PIT 6 6 137 692 5.05
Ryan Mathews 28 PHL 13 6 127 685 5.39
Carlos Hyde 24 SF 7 7 126 523 4.15
Marshawn Lynch 29 SEA 7 6 124 497 4.01
Theo Riddick 24 DET 16 1 123 830 6.75
Shane Vereen 26 NYG 16 0 120 755 6.29
Bilal Powell 27 NYJ 11 2 117 701 5.99
Chris Polk 26 HOU 15 2 115 443 3.85
Joique Bell 29 DET 13 5 112 597 5.33
Tim Hightower 29 NO 8 3 108 504 4.67
Shaun Draughn 28 CLV-SF 11 6 105 449 4.28
Tavon Austin (WR) 24 STL 16 14 104 907 8.72
Karlos Williams 22 BUF 11 3 104 613 5.89
Tre Mason 22 STL 13 3 93 295 3.17
Jamaal Charles 29 KC 5 5 92 541 5.88
Tevin Coleman 22 ATL 12 3 89 406 4.56
Andre Williams 23 NYG 16 0 89 264 2.97
Denard Robinson 25 JAX 13 3 88 430 4.89
Dexter McCluster 27 TEN 11 2 86 507 5.9
Joseph Randle 24 DAL 6 6 86 400 4.65
Dion Lewis 25 NE 7 6 85 622 7.32
Arian Foster 29 HOU 4 4 85 390 4.59
Jonathan Grimes 26 HOU 14 0 82 455 5.55
Brandon Bolden 25 NE 15 2 82 387 4.72
Mike Tolbert 30 CAR 16 3 80 410 5.13
Spencer Ware 24 KC 11 2 78 408 5.23
Jerick McKinnon 23 MIN 16 0 73 444 6.08
Khiry Robinson 26 NO 8 0 73 295 4.04
Chris Thompson 25 WSH 13 0 70 456 6.51
C.J. Spiller 28 NO 13 2 70 351 5.01
Donald Brown 28 SD 9 2 67 317 4.73
Terrance West 24 CLV-BAL 8 0 66 252 3.82
Benny Cunningham 25 STL 16 1 63 390 6.19
James White 23 NE 14 1 62 466 7.52
Bishop Sankey 23 TEN 13 3 61 332 5.44
Andre Ellington 26 ARZ 10 3 60 437 7.28
Fred Jackson 34 SEA 16 0 58 357 6.16
DuJuan Harris 27 GB-SF 4 1 57 286 5.02
Christine Michael 25 DAL-SEA 8 2 57 259 4.54
Robert Turbin 26 SEA-DAL 10 0 57 222 3.89
Jay Ajayi 22 MIA 9 0 55 277 5.04
Mike Gillislee 25 BUF 5 1 53 296 5.58
David Cobb 22 TEN 7 1 53 144 2.72
Jonas Gray 25 NE-MIA 8 0 52 252 4.85
Cameron Artis-Payne 25 CAR 7 0 50 241 4.82
Matt Asiata 28 MIN 16 0 48 244 5.08
Ka’Deem Carey 23 CHI 10 1 46 178 3.87
Branden Oliver 24 SD 8 1 44 220 5
Kyle Juszczyk 24 BAL 16 11 43 324 7.53
Mike Davis 22 SF 6 0 42 96 2.29
Ahmad Bradshaw 29 IND 6 0 41 149 3.63
Marcel Reece 30 OAK 15 7 40 305 7.63
Zac Stacy 24 NYJ 8 0 40 154 3.85
Stevan Ridley 26 NYJ 9 1 40 88 2.2
Orleans Darkwa 23 NYG 16 0 39 184 4.72
Terron Ward 23 ATL 13 0 38 168 4.42
Kenjon Barner 26 PHL 11 0 38 146 3.84
Damien Williams 23 MIA 16 0 37 201 5.43
Fozzy Whittaker 26 CAR 15 1 37 172 4.65
Dan Herron 26 BUF-IND 10 0 34 126 3.71
Jamize Olawale 26 OAK 14 3 33 194 5.88
Jarryd Hayne 27 SF 8 1 31 79 2.55
Knile Davis 24 KC 14 0 30 96 3.2
Kerwynn Williams 24 ARZ 6 0 29 158 5.45
Travaris Cadet 26 NO-SF-NE 7 1 28 242 8.64
Anthony Dixon 28 BUF 16 1 27 88 3.26
Lance Dunbar 25 DAL 4 0 26 282 10.85
Roy Helu 27 OAK 9 0 26 114 4.38
Bryce Brown 24 SEA 3 0 25 72 2.88
Pierre Thomas 31 NO-WSH 5 0 24 148 6.17
Kendall Gaskins 25 SF 9 0 24 107 4.46
Juwan Thompson 23 DEN 15 1 24 99 4.13
Taiwan Jones 27 OAK 12 0 23 180 7.83
Akeem Hunt 22 HOU 7 1 23 135 5.87
Josh Robinson 23 IND 5 0 23 72 3.13
Toby Gerhart 28 JAX 7 1 23 67 2.91
Steven Jackson 32 NE 2 1 22 70 3.18
Zach Zenner 24 DET 6 1 19 71 3.74
Lorenzo Taliaferro 24 BAL 3 0 18 76 4.22
Stepfan Taylor 24 ARZ 16 0 18 62 3.44
Fitzgerald Toussaint 25 PIT 5 0 18 42 2.33
Bruce Miller 28 SF 16 5 16 149 9.31
John Kuhn 33 GB 16 6 15 84 5.6
Jacquizz Rodgers 25 CHI 5 0 15 51 3.4
Joey Iosefa 24 NE 2 0 15 51 3.4
Patrick DiMarco 26 ATL 16 8 14 110 7.86
Rex Burkhead 25 CIN 16 0 14 98 7
Reggie Bush 30 SF 5 1 13 47 3.62
Zach Line 25 MIN 16 5 12 105 8.75
Jalston Fowler 25 TEN 16 0 12 57 4.75
Darrel Young 28 WSH 16 3 12 32 2.67
Zurlon Tipton 25 IND 10 0 10 77 7.7
Michael Burton 23 DET 16 7 10 41 4.1
Austin Johnson 26 NO 10 1 9 39 4.33
Derrick Coleman 25 SEA 14 3 9 32 3.56
John Crockett 23 GB 2 0 9 21 2.33
Bernard Pierce 24 JAX 7 0 9 18 2
Ryan Hewitt 24 CIN 15 12 8 99 12.38
Bobby Rainey 28 TB 16 0 8 34 4.25
Corey Grant 24 JAX 6 0 8 15 1.88
Tommy Bohanon 25 NYJ 16 4 6 58 9.67
Jay Prosch 23 HOU 16 2 6 33 5.5
Will Johnson 26 PIT 16 4 6 23 3.83
Anthony Sherman 27 KC 16 2 5 34 6.8
Malcolm Brown 22 STL 1 0 5 15 3
Will Tukuafu 31 SEA 14 1 5 8 1.6
Jordan Todman 25 PIT 11 0 4 22 5.5
Alonzo Harris 23 GB 6 0 4 19 4.75
Malcolm Johnson 23 CLV 12 5 4 15 3.75
Terrance Magee 22 BAL 3 0 4 7 1.75
George Winn 25 DET 7 0 4 1 0.25
Jorvorskie Lane 28 TB 16 6 3 13 4.33
Rod Smith 23 SEA-DAL 11 0 3 11 3.67
Cierre Wood 24 BUF 2 0 3 -3 -1
Tyler Varga 22 IND 3 0 2 20 10
Roosevelt Nix 23 PIT 15 3 2 16 8
Jerome Felton 29 BUF 16 8 2 14 7
Trey Williams 23 IND 2 0 2 12 6
Isaiah Pead 26 STL 2 0 2 3 1.5
Jake Fisher 22 CIN 14 1 1 31 31
Aaron Ripkowski 23 GB 15 0 1 18 18
Antone Smith 30 CHI 5 0 1 11 11
Tyler Clutts 31 DAL 16 5 1 4 4
Kendall Hunter 27 NO 2 0 1 2 2
Marcus Murphy 24 NO 13 0 1 0 0
Glenn Winston 26 CLV 3 0 1 -8

-8

 

 

NOTE: A special inclusion here is Rams’ wide receiver Tavon Austin. Austin was quietly and uncannily effective both as a receiver and a rusher. The nifty playmaker saw as many plays as a runner (52) as a pass-catcher, darting to an amazing 8.72 YPT in his 104 touches.

Okay, time for the straight and plain talk. To squeeze the most out of any running back today a serious fantasy competitor has to key in on total yards from scrimmage, touches and yards per touch, with YPT being the driving force in decision-making and evaluations. This is not rocket science; just a change in perspective. In the recent past fanballers ranked halfback effectiveness by rushing yards, carries and yards per carry. The way NFL general managers and personnel types are stocking their teams’ backfields, and the manner in which pro coaches are devising game plans these days, those favorite rushing stats are far too narrow in evaluating fantasy potential. Narrow stats lead to slim tailback options. Touches, total yards and YPT expand the talent field for fantasy coaches at the running back spot. We need versatility and depth to work WITH the RBBC rather than fight it?

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YPT utilization creates a very versatile and interchangeable fantasy backfield. It also means a fantasy coach is going to have to follow a sound Strength Of Schedule (SOS) and play the matchups weekly; that takes some work and conviction but it is well worth the invested effort. Some might say approaching the season in this manner relies on a bucket full of luck but in reality ‘luck’ happens when one is in position to experience it. Having a stable of running backs that do not require a ‘bucket’ full of carries in order to bring points to a starting lineup is a great advantage over other franchise owners who lean heavily on one or two ‘workhorse’ backs and manage iffy bench strength behind them. Running backs break down, plain and simple!

 

Owning productive, interchangeable running backs on a fantasy roster allows for lineup versatility and backfield insurance.

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This off-season, as you prepare for your drafts, auctions or however your league assembles rosters… at the very least add YPT to your evaluation process for running backs. Will it take some extra effort to manage a potential fantasy RBBC? Yes.

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However, isn’t that part of the fun of fantasy football? Why YPC when you can YPT?

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YARDS PER TOUCH… valuing running backs, fantasy football style.

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